megatrendss Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends

Angel investors SV Angel, led by Ron Conway invests so early in startups that he looks mostly at the team and current tech trends when making investment decisions.

Last year he was focusing on real time and location startups. This year, according to a confidential report to SV Angel investors that made its way into our hands, he’s looking at a whole slew of trends.

How a startup plays into these trends is taken into consideration when SV Angel ponders an investment. The trends include:

  • Social
  • Real Time
  • Location Based Services
  • The Urban Entrepreneur
  • Mobile
  • Flash Sales
  • Behavior & Transactions

We’ve included a screenshot of the relevant slide, click on it for a larger view (or click here). The slide also contains sample startups in each category.

The most fascinating trend is the “Urban Entrepreneur” – which SV Angel says is represented by startups like Twitter and Foursquare. “A new field of entrepreneurs is developing where key insights are coming from founders in large cities” says the report. It adds “[technology tools]…have led entrepreneurs to find innovation in behavior, rather than technology, at least within social media.”

Information provided by CrunchBase

 Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends

 Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends
 Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends

 Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends  Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends

 Ron Conway’s Confidential Investment Guide: The Tech Megatrends

su StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles

Discovery engine startup StumbleUpon today announced it has hired two new directors to expand its sales and partnership teams, both previous Google employees.

Anthony Napolitano, a former key member of the sales teams for several of Google’s products, including TV Ads, Analytics, Checkout and AdWords, will be joining the company as Director of Sales.

Oliver Hsiang, until recently manager of strategic partner development at Google and former product manager at Yahoo, Microsoft and Chipshot, is StumbleUpon’s new Director of Strategic Partnerships.

In a press release, StumbleUpon founder and CEO Garrett Camp boasts about the double steal from Google and says the company has hired 15 new team members in the last three months alone.

Looks like StumbleUpon is faring well after about a year after its spin-off from eBay – the ‘social search engine’ company recently also reached 10 million registered users.

 StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles

 StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles

 StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles
 StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles

 StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles  StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles

 StumbleUpon Poaches A Pair Of Googlers To Fill Director Roles

 Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

twitter revenues Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

A new analyst report from private secondary market SharesPost values Twitter at around $750 million, which is less than the $1 billion valuation it got in its last round of funding and less than the $1.5 billion valuation private shares of Twitter are trading for on SharesPost itself. The report notes that the $1 billion valuation was based on preferred shares, whereas it is looking at common shares.

The analyst report (embedded below) comes up with an enterprise value for Twitter based on projected revenues, margins, and comparisons to other companies. Depending on the method, it comes up with a range of valuations from $656 million (by comparing Twitter’s estimated enterprise value to comparable companies) to $751 million (by estimating revenues, margins, and a discount rate).

It is all pretty much guesswork since Twitter still doesn’t know where the bulk of its revenues will come from. But the report makes a stab at projecting revenues of $45 million in 2010 going to $170 million in 2014. It notes various sources of potential revenue in order of decreasing likelihood, starting with licensing its data feed to search engines (which is where most of its revenue is coming from today) and creating premium accounts for businesses (something else it has already dabbled in). Other options for making money: charging third party apps based on how much API data they use, premium accounts for heavy individual users (limited potential), Web ads on user profiles, or ads in Tweets (these could alienate users).

The best bet for Twitter to make money, says the report, is to continue to become a marketing channel for businesses and start charging for leads. The opt-in model of people following businesses and brands should result in much higher sales per lead than other marketing channels such as email marketing, telemarketing, or bulk SMS marketing. Businesses who use Twitter for social media marketing purposes tend to have many more followers than normal users and also Tweet more often.

twitterbizfollowers Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

twitterbiz tweeters Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

Another nice chart in the report show how Twitter’s uptime has improved since its early days (other than when it is under a denial of service attack),

twitter uptime Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

And the report confirms that most Twitter users are passive readers rather than active posters. As I’ve long suspected, people on Twitter tend to consume more than they Tweet. About 68 percent of users login at least once a month, but only 17 percent Tweet. (Although, they do tend to start Tweeting more once they’ve been on the service for 9 months or longer).

twitter passive users Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

[docstoc-embed docId="32285851" mId="274918" width="630" height="550" slideMode="false" showRelatedDocs="true" showOtherDocs="true" allowdownload="true" url="http://www.docstoc.com/docs/32285851/Sharespost-Twitter-Valuation-Report"]Sharespost Twitter Valuation Report[/docstoc-embed]

 Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

 Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million
 Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

 Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million  Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

 Sharespost Report Values Twitter At $750 Million

 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?Silicon Valley investors often have a picture in their heads of the type of person who is worthy of funding: young, brash, stubborn, and arrogant. They believe that successful entrepreneurs come from entrepreneurial families and that they start their entrepreneurial journey by selling lemonade while in grade school. Angel investor and entrepreneur, Jason Calacanis said as much in his recent talk to Penn State students. And after meeting Wharton students, VC Fred Wilson expressed shock when a professor told him that you could teach people to be entrepreneurs. Wilson wrote, “I’ve been working with entrepreneurs for almost 25 years now and it is ingrained in my mind that someone is either born an entrepreneur or is not.”

Jason, Fred, and Silicon Valley VCs, I’ve got news for you: you’ve got it all wrong. Entrepreneurs aren’t born, they’re made. And they aren’t anything like you think they are. My team surveyed 549 successful entrepreneurs. We found that the majority didn’t have entrepreneurial parents. They didn’t even have entrepreneurial aspirations while going to school. They simply got tired of working for others, had a great idea they wanted to commercialize, or woke up one day with an urgent desire to build wealth before they retired. So they took the big leap.

 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?We found that 52% of the successful entrepreneurs were the first in their immediate families to start a business — just like Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, Larry Page, Sergei Brin, and Russell Simons (Def Jam founder). Their parents were academics, lawyers, factory workers, priests, bureaucrats, etc. About 39% had an entrepreneurial father, and 7% had an entrepreneurial mother. (Some had both.)

Only a quarter caught the entrepreneurial bug when in college. Half didn’t even think about entrepreneurship, and they had little interest in it when in school.

 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?There was no significant difference between the success factors or hurdles faced by entrepreneurs who were extremely interested in entrepreneurship in school (and who likely set up the lemonade stands) and the ones who lacked interest. But entrepreneurs with extreme interest started more companies and did it sooner. Of the 24.5% who indicated that they were “extremely interested” in becoming entrepreneurs during college, 47.1% went on to start more than two companies (as compared with 32.9% of the overall sample). Sixty-nine percent started their companies within 10 years of working for someone else (as compared to 46.8% of the rest of the sample population).

 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?What did affect their successes?  Education — but not the college they graduate from. In a different study of the 652 CEOs and CTOs of 502 tech companies, we researched the correlation between education and the sales and headcount of companies founded. We learned that the there was a significant difference between companies started by founders with just high-school diplomas and the rest. Education provided a huge advantage. But there wasn’t a big difference between firms founded by Ivy-league graduates and the graduates of other universities.

The education and training of entrepreneurs is something that the Kauffman Foundation has been researching extensively. Over the last six years, it has invested around $50 million on academic research to understand what makes entrepreneurs tick and what policies are most conducive to entrepreneurship and to construct data bases to permit analyses of these subjects. (Kauffman has also funded some of my research at Duke, UC-Berkeley, and Harvard.) Its VP of Research, Bob Litan, says that Kauffman has learnt conclusively that entrepreneurship can be taught. The key is to provide education at “teachable moments” — when the entrepreneur is thinking about starting a venture or ready to scale it. What entrepreneurs need isn’t the type of abstract course they teach in business schools, but practical, relevant knowledge.  That’s why Kauffman created a program called Fast Trac, which has trained 300,000 entrepreneurs so far.

One of the findings of Kauffman research is that of the appx. 600,000 businesses that are started every year, less than a fraction of 1% become high-growth “scale” businesses. These new firms, especially the “scale” firms, have added all of the net incremental jobs to U.S. economy since 1980 (about 40 million), and probably account for about 1/3 of GDP growth since then. So the key to boosting economic growth is to increase the number of successful high-growth startups.  After all, the growth rate of our economy is nothing more than the aggregation of the growth of our firms.

That is why Kauffman (which has a $2 billion endowment) is investing heavily in an ambitious new program called Kauffman Labs.  This aims to dramatically increase the ability of small businesses to become big businesses. The Labs program is built around a novel idea: that highly motivated individuals with “scalable ideas” can be recruited to be entrepreneurs and to be made successful, by surrounding them with a network of other experienced entrepreneurs; sources of money; and mentors. The goal is to educate entrepreneurs and surround them with a powerful network. This is like a Y Combinator on steroids.

Anecdotal evidence also shows that there are many more factors at play than that of genes. Note this BusinessWeek article about waves of spinoffs from Google. I doubt that all of these Google employees who are starting successful businesses were born with entrepreneurial genes. VC and former entrepreneur Brad Feld also blogged about how many of his frat buddies at MIT had become successful entrepreneurs. Were all of these people born to be entrepreneurs as well? I don’t think so. It is probably education, exposure to entrepreneurship, and networks that led these people to pursue the entrepreneurial path — which means that Kauffman Foundation may have hit on the right idea with Kauffman Labs.

The reason this topic is really important is that, as Wilson writes, “Venture Capital is a lot about pattern recognition”. The reality is that VCs like him make quick judgments about people based on the stereotypes in their minds. So, like the women that I wrote about in my previous posts, we may be disadvantaging another important segment of our population – a segment that is older, more humble, more sensible, and more realistic than the population that is getting all the attention (and the money).

Editor’s note: Guest writer Vivek Wadhwa is an entrepreneur turned academic. He is a Visiting Scholar at UC-Berkeley, Senior Research Associate at Harvard Law School and Director of Research at the Center for Entrepreneurship and Research Commercialization at Duke University. Follow him on Twitter at @vwadhwa.

 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?

 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?
 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?

 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?  Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?

 Can Entrepreneurs Be Made?

 Page 1 of 2  1  2 »